Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

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Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby aardvark_admin » Thu May 17, 2018 10:27 am

This column is archived at: https://aardvark.co.nz/daily/2018/0517.shtml

Are we all shaking in our boots (either out of fear or as a result of seismic activity)?

Has the mainscream media simply seen an opportunity to hype up a little tectonic action into a "crisis" and portent of imminent doom?

How many feeble-minded people are now suffering from anxiety as a result of the fear that they're going to be caught in a massive earthquake or trapped in an inescapable lava-flow as a result of the evil "ring of fire"?

Are you worried?

Have you taken extra precautions?

Or are you simply more worried about the integrity, honesty and objectivity of what was once The Fourth Estate?
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby GSVNoFixedAbode » Thu May 17, 2018 10:49 am

The American alert is pure bullcr*p as the Hawaiian activity is over an independent hotspot and not connected to the Pacific Ring. As for the Alpine fault, I thought the only reason it reappeared in the media is due to the current planning exercise being done, coordinating the various CD groups. Now THAT is a good idea.

Clickbait? Oh, yes. But then again, Hawaii is fascinating at the moment: watching a natural disaster happen with enough time to keep people safe.
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby latewings » Thu May 17, 2018 10:56 am

It's a sad testament that the underlying science of tectonic plate theory is overlooked (probably because these journalists have no idea what a plate is) in favour of reporting the sky is about to fall - again.

Journalism nowadays seems to attract people who have trouble following the recipe for ice cubes.

Honestly, it's a volcano, it does what it says on the box: go bang. That's why it's so big. The Alpine fault: same, big rumbly things called earthquakes! These are not tiny geological structures caused by an Earth fart. They're huge because the forces inside the crust are itching to find a weak spot and get out. It's fascinating science and we can learn significant amounts about our planet from the events. I fail to see why this means we're all about to die a Pompeii style demise in 4K cinematic style to be posted on instagram.
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby phill » Thu May 17, 2018 11:24 am

a quick look through the list of major eruptions in the 1900,s ~44 2000's~40 and 2100's ~22 so far
would suggest we are going through a slightly elevated number of eruptions at the moment

lots to look at if you are an earth scientist / volcanologist
not so much if you are not employed in the industry

other than being prepared for long term likely local disasters .. if you live in an earthquake prone area .. its earthquakes .. if you live in a low lying coastal area facing a major fault line .. its tsunamis .. if you live in the bush its fires ... pleased dont be surprised when it happens .. just cause you dont remember it happening before doesnt mean it doesnt exist .. it does .. just be aware it may happen at any time and have a plan of what needs doing ... other than that .. settle down people .. life does not come with a guarantee no matter where you live .. and dont forget . look right look left and look right again .. for that bit is far more likely to kill you than any natural disaster
( ,,,,,,,, ....... A E I O U use em sparingly theres probably not enough )
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby Kiwiiano » Thu May 17, 2018 1:45 pm

There are apparently 50-60 volcanoes considered to be active around the world and eruptions occur approximately once a week. So at any given time there will be activity somewhere. It’s only News when rumble rumble becomes FOOOMM!!

I don’t have a lot of sympathy for folk who build on the side of an active volcano but have to admit that some of the insurance ‘gotchas’ are a bit ropey. Like you have fire insurance cover if a scrub fire burns your house down, but not if the scrub fire was started by lava rather than a discarded dog end.
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby hagfish » Thu May 17, 2018 1:53 pm

I've been following the @geonet and @NewEarthquake Twitter bots for many years, and noticed a substantial decline in quakes over the last couple of years. Around 2011, they were banging off relentlessly. These days, all quiet. Eerily quiet?

EDIT: I graphed it.. It looks like 2011 and its build-up were an anomaly, and the last few years have been 'back to 'normal'.

Image
Last edited by hagfish on Fri May 18, 2018 9:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby Wetherman » Thu May 17, 2018 4:34 pm

Other theories are abounding too, for example the increased frequency of disasters may be linked to the return of Nibiru :)
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Re: Here comes the big one? (17 May, 2018)

Postby Muscular Jam » Thu May 17, 2018 7:26 pm

Ring of fire? lay off the curry.
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